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Thursday, 19 August 2010 06:37 |
by Graham Young
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 This morning I did a studio panel with Milton Dick, ALP Councillor for Richlands, Patrick Weller, Professor of Politics and Public Policy at Griffith University and host Madonna King on 612 ABC's Morning program. I've never done anything quite like this. We were outside Woolworths in the Morayfield Shopping Centre and there was an audience sitting in chairs in front of us.
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Wednesday, 18 August 2010 20:08 |
by Graham Young
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Two of the most prominent policies in this election where the major parties go head to head are broadband and parental leave. Parental leave is particularly significant as it was formulated by Tony Abbott over the heads of his colleagues.
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Tuesday, 17 August 2010 03:09 |
by Administrator
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After 5 weeks of campaigning it looks like the parties are pretty much back where they started. On our unadjusted sample the two-party preferred vote is 63% Labor to 37% Coalition, which after rounding is what it was to start with. Primary votes show some small fluctuations, with the exception of the National Party, which declines sharply. This is probably because they don't stand in every seat.
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Monday, 09 August 2010 11:42 |
by Graham Young
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I've just isolated all those people who have changed their two-party preferred vote from one side to the other, or from undecided to one side or the other. While the sample is small (95) it does tell a credible story.
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Saturday, 07 August 2010 08:45 |
by Graham Young
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According to our first tracking poll of the election there has been a four percentage slip in Labor support since July 21. As my best guess at the time was that the Labor vote was 52% two-party preferred, this suggests that Labor is now on about 48% of the 2PP result, which is on a par with the worst polling results they are getting.
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Saturday, 07 August 2010 04:39 |
by Jo
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The proliferation of pundits is one of the strangest features of this strange election campaign. Forget Twitter, Facebook and the chattering classes.
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Sunday, 01 August 2010 09:23 |
by Graham Young
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The politicians are telling us that this election is about a lot of things, but that's not what electors are saying. For them there are a very few issues, and they are mostly issues of character. The Leximancer map below explores the question of preferred prime minister. The central theme, as it should be, is leadership, but the strengths of the respective candidates are gender for the PM and trust for the challenger.
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Thursday, 29 July 2010 00:26 |
by Graham Young
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 Last night's 7.30 report featured a cameo appearance by yours truly. This election will be lost and won in the Queensland and New South Wales and they were looking at a series of marginal seats in and around Brisbane.
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Wednesday, 28 July 2010 10:50 |
by Graham Young
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It’s too early to make a call of the election, but if you’re a forecaster why wait until it’s obvious? So here’s my call. Julia Gillard is going to win. But that doesn’t mean that Tony Abbott can’t be a winner too.
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