Polls Blog
June Omnibus - the issues
Tuesday, 19 July 2011 09:50 | by Graham Young

Climate change, and its proposed cure - a carbon tax - are the major issue in this poll. With the economy and cost of living making a supporting appearance. The Greens have also solidified into a major issue for non-Labor voters. The Leximancer map graphically illustrates it. (Liberal voters are to the right and Labor and Greens voters to the left. The vann diagram groups words into themes and associates them with each other and with types of voter.)

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June 2011 Quants
Saturday, 16 July 2011 07:53 | by Graham Young

Has public opinion overshot on the two-party preferred vote? Our panel certainly suggests that it might be a mirror reverse of what happened in the run-up to the 2007 election. Kevin 24/7 consistently scored over 55 per cent of the two-party preferred vote (sometimes almost as high as 60 percent) only to fall back to around 52 per cent at the election.

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First Preference Index June 2011
Thursday, 14 July 2011 21:37 | by Graham Young

Our first preference index shows a continued decline in Labor with an implied two-party preferred vote for the Coalition over the government of 56% to 44%.

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Budget 2011 - the qual
Monday, 23 May 2011 10:50 | by Graham Young

The Leximancer graph of responses to whether the country is heading in the right direction shows just how "tight" times are for many in the population. The three themes identified by the software are all to do with money. They move from the more to the less abstract from left to right.

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Budget 2011 - the quants
Sunday, 22 May 2011 09:31 | by Graham Young

Wayne Swan's budget failed to excite respondents, and it was delivered against a background of fragile public confidence in the direction in which the country is heading.

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Budget 2011: one pass conceded and several fails
Friday, 20 May 2011 22:24 | by Graham Young

Was the 2011 budget “...a dog's breakfast. Give some, take some, end up where you were before”?

Or “Very well-balanced between the need for fiscal rectitude and the need to address outstanding social/health issues. Also a modest windback of middle class welfare”?

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Queensland figures confirmed
Thursday, 19 May 2011 21:34 | by Graham Young

Newspoll published its latest quarterly survey of Queensland voting results this month, but you needn't have waited that long to know what difference Campbell Newman's selection as LNP leader made in Queensland politics.

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March Omnibus - The Issues
Wednesday, 30 March 2011 23:43 | by Graham Young

For a couple of years Climate Change was one of the most dominating issues in our analysis, and respondents were either for it or against it. In this survey the issue has effectively become split in two. Those on the left continue to be concerned about it, but on the right concern is not about climate change directly, but the Carbon Tax, which is supposed to address it.

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March Omnibus - The Quants
Wednesday, 30 March 2011 00:31 | by Graham Young

According to quantitative analysis of our virtual focus group Julia Gillard is less popular than Tony Abbott although more disapprove of both of them than approve, and they are neck and neck as preferred Prime Minister. The carbon tax is marginally unpopular, but both the flood levy and the mining tax have positive net levels of support.

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