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Recent Blog Posts

Our Polls

Mixed and baked in Victoria: Election 2018

We have just analysed our longitudinal research during the Victorian election comparing a sample taken midway through the campaign with one on the weekend of the election, just after respondents had voted.

To read the report please click here.

Qualitative polling on Victorian election

We conducted qualitative polling of voters in the Victorian election last week. The full report can be downloaded by clicking here.


Subtle shifts in concern

Our latest polling (download from here) shows left of centre voters being more committed and unified than right of centre voters. This is partly due to the continuation of resentment at the way Malcolm Turnbull won the Liberal Party leadership. It manifests in the very low opt-in rate of Liberal voters in this sample.


Labor and LNP avoided big issues in campaign

There are always more election campaigns available than it is possible to run. For starters there is the negative campaign and the positive campaign.


No party a winner

There will be no party winners in the current Queensland election.

Given the talent on offer, that’s also what most voters are expecting, based on our virtual focus group of 311 Queenslanders who completed a 15 minute qualitative online survey between November 3 and 6.


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Polls in the News

First poll shows Rudd resurgent

This post is a reproduction of the Morgan Media release. Morgan has conducted an SMS poll of voters. I'm unclear on the methodology, and the track record, so the result should be treated cautiously.

Comments   

 
-1 #1 RE: First poll shows Rudd resurgentLes 2017-03-11 22:56
Best that has happened to WA, a return of an ALP Government & we need to win again in QLD.

Congrats to the WA ALP on a marvellous victory
 
 
0 #2 RE: First poll shows Rudd resurgentCheryl 2018-08-05 11:37
Rudd proved himself to be a pompous fool
 

ANZ Job Ads September 2011

The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year.


A more likely Katter figure

"Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin.


Polling question concocted to show Katter on 25%

A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong.


Home loan arrears

My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot.


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