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Our Polls

Andrews ahead, but opponents are legion

In 2018 Andrews started close to level with Guy on personal approval and pollsters predicted a close race. By the end of the campaign the ALP scored 57.3% of the two-party vote, and while Andrews’ approval had increased, Guy’s had collapsed, most dramatically amongst Liberal voters. This was a landslide of historic proportions.

Exit poll - it was a Seinfeld election

This election was a Seinfeld election – it was more about personalities than plot, and not a lot happened.


Election 2022 the issue of security and defence

 

I've just released the second piece of our research on the federal election which looks at the security issue. There will be a final piece after the election is over, based on our exit survey, and looking at what was in voters minds on election day. To read the whole of the research, please click here to download the report.


March 2022 Omnibus Poll

This is another sullen election, even though both sides exhibit high support for their respective candidates. 60% disagree (versus 30% who agree) that the federal government has done enough to be elected, while 40% disagree (versus 41% who agree) that Labor has done enough to be elected.


Neck and neck in June 2021

Our research might be best summed-up by saying that we wouldn’t want to be where Scott Morrison is now, but neither would we want to be where Anthony Albanese is either.


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Polls in the News

First poll shows Rudd resurgent

This post is a reproduction of the Morgan Media release. Morgan has conducted an SMS poll of voters. I'm unclear on the methodology, and the track record, so the result should be treated cautiously.

Comments   

 
-1 #1 RE: First poll shows Rudd resurgentLes 2017-03-12 08:56
Best that has happened to WA, a return of an ALP Government & we need to win again in QLD.

Congrats to the WA ALP on a marvellous victory
 
 
0 #2 RE: First poll shows Rudd resurgentCheryl 2018-08-05 21:37
Rudd proved himself to be a pompous fool
 

ANZ Job Ads September 2011

The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year.


A more likely Katter figure

"Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin.


Polling question concocted to show Katter on 25%

A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong.


Home loan arrears

My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot.


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