Galaxy also gets into the act with marginal seat polling, predicting a net 18 seats to the Coalition. Mumble has a summary on his blog.

Figures released by The Australian of Newspoll results for 17 marginal seats in Victoria, New South Wales and Queensland tends to confirm the broad Nielsen results in terms of the seats that might be affected.

As reported in The Age by Tim Colebatch the lastest Nielsen Poll gives Labor 53% of the two-party preferred vote - a similar level to last election. The state by state story is different with an increased Labor vote in Victoria being undermined by a decreased vote in Queensland and New South Wales.

It's hard to believe that this could be correct, but Roy Morgan says the ALP surged by 7.5% last weekend from 50% on Tuesday the previous week to 57.5%. I don't know of any polls that can confirm this, so it might just be a continuation of Morgan's track which is to give the ALP a higher vote than any other poll.