Newspoll confirms that so far there has been no honeymoon for Gillard. Their latest figures show Labor bottoming in May with a slow rebound since then. With a two-party preferred vote of 53% to the Liberals 47% it doesn't quite reach their mid-April standing.

The Galaxy poll published in The Sunday Mail today appears closer to our results than Nielsen as they show a small bounce to Labor, but not a huge one. The two-party preferred margin is 52 to 48 - a solid election win.

AC Nielsen, as reported in the Fairfax papers, shows an increase in the two-party preferred Labor vote from 47 percent to 55 percent. If this is true it contradicts the findings of our qualitative survey reported in The Australian and republished here.