Recent Blog PostsOur PollsExit poll and realityby Graham Young Sunday, 25 March 2012 20:30 This is the first time we've run an exit poll and the results are intriguing. With a two-party preferred result of 64% to 36% we were very close to what actually happened. We will have to wait until someone does the calculation on the final state results to know exactly how close.
Newman has a problem with womenby Graham Young Thursday, 22 March 2012 10:42 Men are much more likely to vote for Campbell Newman than are women, but where the difference is really evident is women 35 to 54. Half-time in Queensland election - the quantsby Graham Young Thursday, 22 March 2012 10:19 This is a snap shot of where the parties were last week. Since then Galaxy and Roy Morgan both indicate that things have moved back, suggesting Labor has over-played its hand.
Leximancer and the Rudd Gillard contestby Graham Young Sunday, 18 March 2012 03:45 The Leximancer Map suggests a number of reasons for voters positions on the Rudd v Gillard contest. Those who have become more likely to vote Labor instance the media and Tony Abbott as two of their strongest reasons. Media refers to media bias. For those less likely it is the way that caucus has demonstrated it controls the numbers in ALP ballots. How the leadership coup affected votersby Graham Young Sunday, 18 March 2012 03:34 Our quants showed that voters were less inclined to vote Labor after Julia Gillard's win, but that leaves the question of why open. Our qualitative responses give the answer, and it is two sides of the same coin. Polls in the NewsANZ Job Ads September 2011by Graham Young Monday, 10 October 2011 01:17 The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year. A more likely Katter figureby Graham Young Wednesday, 07 September 2011 05:07 "Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin. Polling question concocted to show Katter on 25%by Graham Young Tuesday, 06 September 2011 21:12 A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong. Home loan arrearsby Graham Young Saturday, 02 July 2011 22:25 My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot. Federal leaders strongly supported for positions - A C Nielsenby Graham Young Monday, 18 April 2011 10:12 The latest AC Nielsen poll shows Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott are both quite safe, at least from a polling point of view, as leaders of their respective parties. You could be pardoned for not knowing this, as the media has been reporting the opposite. |