Recent Blog Posts
Written by Graham Young Monday, 09 June 2014 08:03
The qualitative results on the approvals for Abbott and Shorten, as well as preferred prime minister undercut the results from the quants.
While the quants suggest Labor is doing much better than the Liberals, the qual suggests that Bill Shorten's position is not very strong and that the results on all three issues are governed by reactions for and against Tony Abbott.
Written by Graham Young Sunday, 25 May 2014 09:09
After weighting our sample for likely voting intentions there are some strong messages for both Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten. Voters are actually not impressed with either - a continuation of the trend from the last parliament.
Written by Graham Young Sunday, 25 May 2014 08:37
Written by Graham Young Sunday, 18 May 2014 22:17
As far as voters are concerned it would appear that this budget is worse than the sum of its parts.
When asked about the budget in toto it is even less popular than Wayne Swan's "tough" 2012 budget. 57% disapprove of this budget compared to 50% who approved of his, although Swan's support at 35% was a little lower than Hockey's at 39%.
Written by Graham Young Sunday, 02 March 2014 11:11
According to the latest Galaxy Poll the Queensland government would receive 53% of the vote on a two-party preferred basis if an election were held now. This could be enough for them to scrape a bare win, or potentially face a hung parliament. This is because the electoral system incorporates around a 2.5% bias towards Labor, or at least it did before the last election.
Written by Graham Young Thursday, 27 June 2013 00:41
This post is a reproduction of the Morgan Media release. Morgan has conducted an SMS poll of voters. I'm unclear on the methodology, and the track record, so the result should be treated cautiously.
Written by Graham Young Monday, 10 October 2011 01:17
The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year.
Written by Graham Young Wednesday, 07 September 2011 05:07
"Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin.
Written by Graham Young Tuesday, 06 September 2011 21:12
A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong.
Written by Graham Young Saturday, 02 July 2011 22:25
My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot.