Recent Blog Posts
Written by Graham Young Tuesday, 14 April 2015 20:47
It’s a truism that voters vote against the party they most dislike and for the party they least dislike. So our elections are grudge matches where the winner is only grudgingly approved. Or that’s the way it usually is.
Written by Graham Young Monday, 13 April 2015 11:06
On their own the quantitative results from the exit poll don't tell us a lot, but comparing them to the first set of results tells us how effective the campaigns were.
Written by Graham Young Thursday, 26 March 2015 04:19
If the Liberal Party wins this state election they might owe as much of their success to Sydney traffic as they owe to Mike Baird's high approval rating.
Written by Graham Young Monday, 23 March 2015 12:25
The New South Wales election result looks like it will be much different from the Queensland one. This may be partly because voters have seen in Queensland that governments can lose large majorities in just one term.
Written by Graham Young Tuesday, 17 March 2015 07:27
The New South Wales coalition government is not impregnable. It may have won 64.2% of the two-party preferred vote at the last election, but that is not their real margin.
Written by Graham Young Thursday, 27 June 2013 00:41
This post is a reproduction of the Morgan Media release. Morgan has conducted an SMS poll of voters. I'm unclear on the methodology, and the track record, so the result should be treated cautiously.
Written by Graham Young Monday, 10 October 2011 01:17
The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year.
Written by Graham Young Wednesday, 07 September 2011 05:07
"Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin.
Written by Graham Young Tuesday, 06 September 2011 21:12
A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong.
Written by Graham Young Saturday, 02 July 2011 22:25
My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot.