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South Australian election 2010

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Last week we polled on the South Australian election. The survey is

January 2010 Omnibus

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Federal politics and global warming.


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Our Polls

South Australia 2010 - the qual

Is the state heading in the right direction?

 

This is a battle between those who look at the economy and those who think that the government is obsessed with spin and performs poorly. Those who think the state is heading in the right direction cite building of infrastructure, the economy, low jobless rate, the defence, mining and arts sectors, and the desalination plant.

South Australia 2010 - the quants

We polled last week and got some interesting results. Mike Rann appears to be in some trouble. Electors have made a judgement on him, perceive him to be obsessed with spin and failing to deliver on his promises. The deciding factor may well be whether voters decide to trust the Liberals so as to change government, or vote for them so as to pull Rann back into line and perhaps engineer a hung parliament.


It could be the end of Media Mike's love affair with voters

Christmas hasn't been kind to South Australian Premier Mike Rann. According to the December Newspoll, he had a satisfaction rating of 50 per cent, with only 38 per cent dissatisfied.


Global Warming analysis January 2010

Our polling shows that there has been a decline in those people who believe that Global Warming is manmade, and that it will be catastrophic, since we polled last time. There has also been a collapse in support for the CPRS.

Faith in the official government view of global warming has been shaken with a statistically significant decline in concern about Global Warming. This is not matched by a corresponding growth in those who are unconcerned. Rather the decrease is being transferred to the numbers of those who are unsure.


January Omnibus - Most Important Issue

Climate Change continues to be the most important issue, followed by Economy. The newcomer this quarter is Population which has zoomed from 7% to 22%. Health and Water have also had a substantial increase. One surprise appearance this month is Rudd. It's taken a while, but just as John Howard had a strong "loathe" factor, Kevin Rudd appears to be developing one too. Most prime ministers do, and Rudd has escaped this factor for a surprisingly long time.


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Polls in the News

Indian students prefer Australia

A survey by TNS puts three Australian universities at the top of the list for Indian students looking to study overseas. This is strongly at odds with the media narrative here and on the sub-continent, which suggests that Australia is regarded as unsafe and racist.

ANZ Job ads increase more slowly

The ANZ Job ads series showed slower trend growth in February, and was the slowest increase since September 2009.
"In trend terms, the monthly growth rate in total job ads decelerated to 2.3% in February which, while still firmly positive, was the slowest pace of growth since September 2009. Annual trend growth improved to the ‘less bad’ rate of -9.2% YoY, from -18.4% in January, and has now been improving each month since June 2009 (see table 1)."


Labor maintains lead - Morgan

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows no statistically significant change in support for any political party since the previous poll. If an election had been held the last weekend of February and the first weekend of March Labor would likely have won 55.5% of the vote.


80% of voters support Rudd health system

According to an AC Nielsen poll taken between Thursday and Saturday last week 80% of Australians back the federal government's health plan. At the same time there has been a small deterioration in the standing of the Prime Minister and support for Tony Abbott is up.


Consumer confidence up 34.3 pts in twelve months

Roy Morgan research reports that consumers are now 34.3 pts more confident than they were twelve months ago, taking the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence index to 129.5, up 4.8 in a week. This mirrors our polling with most respondents confident of the direction in which their personal circumstances are heading.


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