Current Surveys
Recent Blog PostsOur PollsWas it a protest vote?by Graham Young Monday, 23 August 2010 12:12 The protest vote had nothing to do with this election. It's a bum rap. Some recent elections in Australia have been won on the basis of protest votes, but there are clear fingerprints when this happens. I've dusted the evidence and the fingerprints aren't there. How voters are putting together the "Ikea" election.by Graham Young Saturday, 21 August 2010 01:53 2007 was the first charisma election for Australians in 35 years. Never since Gough Whitlam had there been so much focus on the leader and celebrity endorsements. Christian tide flows backby Graham Young Friday, 20 August 2010 01:39 Last election we looked at the vote of people who were Christian. This showed that they had a greater tendency to swing toward Kevin Rudd than the average, although on balance they were still supporting the Liberals. Policy bombshell has backfiredby Administrator Thursday, 19 August 2010 11:05 Yesterday I posted results showing that Labor was winning on two issues where there were "head to head" policies from both sides - parental leave and broadband. This morning The Australian carried a piece from me looking at parental leave in much more detail, and putting the policy into context in Tony Abbott's campaign. 612 ABC Morning broadcast from Morayfieldby Graham Young Thursday, 19 August 2010 06:37
Polls in the NewsParty insider poll tips are for mugsby Graham Young Friday, 20 August 2010 00:24 Mugs are what most of my colleagues in the media are. Most media are reporting internal ALP polling which shows that the government has 52 percent of the two-party vote, but is doing poorly in marginals in Queensland, New South Wales and West Australia. They give this polling credence and say that the election will be close. Morgan comes back to earthby Graham Young Sunday, 15 August 2010 06:46 Gary Morgan is back to getting results closer to what everyone thinks the result is likely to be. His latest poll shows a swing back to the Coalition of 6.5 points in just a week and a two-party preferred vote to Labor of 51%. Galaxy predicts narrow Liberal winby Graham Young Sunday, 15 August 2010 06:20 Galaxy also gets into the act with marginal seat polling, predicting a net 18 seats to the Coalition. Mumble has a summary on his blog. Newspoll confirms seats at riskby Graham Young Sunday, 15 August 2010 05:39 Figures released by The Australian of Newspoll results for 17 marginal seats in Victoria, New South Wales and Queensland tends to confirm the broad Nielsen results in terms of the seats that might be affected.
Nielsen puts Gillard level with last election going into last weekby Graham Young Sunday, 15 August 2010 05:14 As reported in The Age by Tim Colebatch the lastest Nielsen Poll gives Labor 53% of the two-party preferred vote - a similar level to last election. The state by state story is different with an increased Labor vote in Victoria being undermined by a decreased vote in Queensland and New South Wales. |
This morning I did a studio panel with Milton Dick, ALP Councillor for Richlands, Patrick Weller, Professor of Politics and Public Policy at Griffith University and host Madonna King on 612 ABC's Morning program. I've never done anything quite like this. We were outside Woolworths in the Morayfield Shopping Centre and there was an audience sitting in chairs in front of us.
