Recent Blog Posts
Written by Graham Young Thursday, 26 March 2015 04:19
If the Liberal Party wins this state election they might owe as much of their success to Sydney traffic as they owe to Mike Baird's high approval rating.
Written by Graham Young Monday, 23 March 2015 12:25
The New South Wales election result looks like it will be much different from the Queensland one. This may be partly because voters have seen in Queensland that governments can lose large majorities in just one term.
Written by Graham Young Tuesday, 17 March 2015 07:27
The New South Wales coalition government is not impregnable. It may have won 64.2% of the two-party preferred vote at the last election, but that is not their real margin.
Written by Graham Young Wednesday, 04 March 2015 05:07
What our quantitative polling told us was that the minor party preference vote was crucial to this election and it eventually settled with Labor. What I'm going to attempt to answer in this post is why that happened.
Written by Graham Young Saturday, 28 February 2015 11:15
The success of Labor in wooing smaller party voters is quite marked in a longitudinal analysis of our Queensland election poll results.
While there was no statistically significant movement in voting intention across the entire sample, there was significant movement within the votes of those voting for minor parties or independents.
Written by Graham Young Thursday, 27 June 2013 00:41
This post is a reproduction of the Morgan Media release. Morgan has conducted an SMS poll of voters. I'm unclear on the methodology, and the track record, so the result should be treated cautiously.
Written by Graham Young Monday, 10 October 2011 01:17
The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year.
Written by Graham Young Wednesday, 07 September 2011 05:07
"Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin.
Written by Graham Young Tuesday, 06 September 2011 21:12
A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong.
Written by Graham Young Saturday, 02 July 2011 22:25
My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot.