July 2011
June Omnibus - the issues
Tuesday, 19 July 2011 19:50 | Written by Graham Young

Climate change, and its proposed cure - a carbon tax - are the major issue in this poll. With the economy and cost of living making a supporting appearance. The Greens have also solidified into a major issue for non-Labor voters. The Leximancer map graphically illustrates it. (Liberal voters are to the right and Labor and Greens voters to the left. The vann diagram groups words into themes and associates them with each other and with types of voter.)

June 2011 Quants
Saturday, 16 July 2011 17:53 | Written by Graham Young

Has public opinion overshot on the two-party preferred vote? Our panel certainly suggests that it might be a mirror reverse of what happened in the run-up to the 2007 election. Kevin 24/7 consistently scored over 55 per cent of the two-party preferred vote (sometimes almost as high as 60 percent) only to fall back to around 52 per cent at the election.

First Preference Index June 2011
Friday, 15 July 2011 07:37 | Written by Graham Young

Our first preference index shows a continued decline in Labor with an implied two-party preferred vote for the Coalition over the government of 56% to 44%.