It's 50/50 - first quant poll of the Queensland election

The Courier Mail published a Galaxy poll this morning which has the Government and Opposition each on 50% of the two-party preferred vote.

This is broadly consistent with my prediction that the LNP would win 12 to 15 seats, which was based on the softness in the government vote that our polling has been showing.

Galaxy also finds that the Greens vote is 8%, which is consistent with our polling.

Anna Bligh is also preferred premier - 50% versus 33% to Springborg. 64% expect Labor to win, and most voters believe that neither party deserves to win.

Ominously for the LNP, the only issue where they are rated as being superior to Labor is health. Balancing that, on the economic front, the loss of Queensland's triple A rating saw one in five say they were less likely to vote for the government.

At the moment you have to buy a hard copy of the paper to see more detail. Hopefully the survey results will be up on the web later.

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0 #1 CommentFriendless 2009-02-27 17:46
The Courier Mail has an extraordinary anti-Labor bias, so I would expect their poll to be the same. Last week they had a story about strip clubs saying that this was the dirty secret the Bligh government didn't want us to know about... but then went on to tell us that the clubs were regulated and sometimes fined for doing the wrong things. When I was a student in the Joh days the strip clubs were illegal, so I think the Bligh government is doing a perfectly acceptable job monitoring strip clubs. How does that get to be a dirty secret? Well, the Courier Mail wishes us to think it so, that's how it happens. I don't trust a word the Courier Mail says.