Turnbull was always on probation

Our latest research, conducted late last year, shows that Malcolm Turnbull has always been on probation. He held support from the right of the political spectrum, as they had nowhere to go, and attracted significant support from previous ALP voters, and even a substantial number of Greens voters.

However, close reading of the qualitative responses showed that a lot of voters were reading onto him attitudes they would like him to have, and were supporting him on the basis that he would change the Liberal Party. If that change doesn't occur (and he can't keep all of them happy, so even if the party changes it won't satisfy some of his supporters), will they move back to Labor or the Greens?

For others there was relief that the tone of the civic conversation had become more moderate. Voters didn't appreciate the three word slogan slanging match between Abbott and Shorten, and Turnbull promises something more urbane. Socially he is more acceptable than either, and it could be possible that in an election where both sides are despised, sociability becomes the strongest factor.

We've attached the tables, Leximancer maps and quotes to this brief summary. Please download it by clicking here. If you have any queries, please comment below, or contact me on This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it .

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-2 #1 RE: Turnbull was always on probationMargaret Olohan 2016-03-23 08:19
I will not vote Liberal/Nation for the first time in my life, I see Turnbull as a weak prima donna who only achievement is taking selfies. The fact he and 53 others stabbed an elected PM tell me they are not a party I would want to run Australia in these troubled times, the world is in a very bad place with the moslem problem around the world and we need a strong person to keep Australia safe. Turnbull,Dancin g Billy and the Green idiot are not going to do that so I will put in an informal vote for the first time,
+3 #2 MsNorma Daisley 2016-03-23 14:07
I would not vote for any of the major parties. They all have the same agenda.
So why bother? We just get more of the same.
0 #3 mrWO PARRY 2016-03-23 15:23
Iam not happy with Turnball but I could not find the stomach to vote for the whinging uselees Labor.
If the Labor get in, we will be broke and innundated with stupid ideas of more PC and more Moslems to Australia.
0 #4 MrErnie G 2016-03-23 16:30
Most Aussies are pretty much disgusted with the two major parties and are looking elsewhere. The ALA is one option but their policies are extremely limited and I don't feel I could place the future of this country in their hands. As an ex 32 year Serviceman, i am pretty disgusted with the way TPI's and superannuants (DFRDB) have been ignored over the last 20+ years and even placed behind migrants and old age pensioners. We need politicians who do not necessarily vote along "party lines" and will stand up for their constituents - AND KEEP ELECTION PROIMISES!
+1 #5 MrMaxim Wilson 2016-03-23 19:38
I was alienated by Tony Abbott's strident simplistic anti-carbon tax mantra. I was alienated from Shorten by revelations of his betrayal of his AWU members . I am attracted by Turnbull's positive upbeat future-looking rhetoric . I give politicians the benefit of the doubt, I don't dismiss them all cynically. I have voted ALP but now support Turnbull.
0 #6 Malcolm has let us downPaul 2016-03-24 07:20
I was very excited when Malcolm became PM. He was, in my opinion, saying all this right things..support for science, maths, engineering and technology eduction and innovation, support for renewable energy development, fair treatment of refugees, tax reform etc. But now..NOTHING but a cynical change to Senate voting, followed by 2 bills that will definitely be rejected, giving him a double dissolution trigger. Shame on you Malcolm.I hope the minor parties stick I right up him at the election. Small quotas could backfire on him. I haven't voted Labor since 2007 but I will be backing Labor this time because they are putting forward value driven policies finally..someth ing the Libs still haven't done.
0 #7 mrmartin newell 2016-03-27 17:27
I think Tony Abbott was the best PM since Howard.
I travelled to Europe and everybody wished
they had a PM like Tony.
When I returned to Australia I was shocked that Turnbull had knifed Tony.
I will be supporting the independent candidates at rep stage and The Motorist party in the Senate.
Lib/lab and green will be at the bottom of my list this time.