Labor down, Libs and Greens soar

I've plotted the latest quantitative results from our polling and it is a brutal story for Labor. In the 2 years since we've been tracking our respondents Labor has lost around 33 percent of its first preference vote, unlike the Liberals and Greens who have both gained more than 30 percent.

(These are real percentages, not percentage points, so a decline from 39 percent to 26 percent would be a 33 percent decline, which is about what has happened to Labor).

The directions in our surveys continue to track the properly randomised polls, all of which are showing Labor at all time lows for its primary vote and relying on Greens preferences to remain competitive with the Liberal Party. The weakness of  Labor vote is why the Greens have good prospects of winning lower house seats in Victoria and New South Wales in these next elections. Which is another way of saying the strength of the Greens vote.

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Comments   

 
0 #1 Keep an eye out for the new kids on the Wendy Richardson 2011-02-25 10:40
Keep an eye out for the new kids on the block, The Queensland Party. Fully registered - one member in Qld Parliament already. Qld Party candidates = local champions! Our constitution reinforces this and does not require us to go against the wishes of our electorate to toe a party line. Fresh new committment to what the people want in their representatives.
Many of us left existing parties for the same reasons as people are turning away from politics generally - disillusioned in the power plays and lack of commitment to the job that needs desperately to be done!
 
 
0 #2 For the past 20 years there has been a sRay Grigg 2011-02-25 20:39
For the past 20 years there has been a steady increase in the rights and civil liberties of the lawless minority while the rights and civil liberties of the law abiding majority has decreased, all under the watchful eyes of both the major parties. Criminal sentences are an insult to the already suffering victims, Sentences are supposed to reflect the expectations of the community but the only expectations that are being met at the moment are those of the offender and their legal teams. The only party that will take up the challenge to bring about change is the Queensland Party, change can happen, it just needs people to want the change.