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Tuesday, 26 January 2010 23:56 |
Written by Graham Young
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Tony Abbott's election seems to have produced a step change in the political conversation and the early evidence says this is a problem for the government, although not necessarily a benefit for the opposition. This is demonstrated by a large drop in approval for the Prime Minister among a sample of 1,989 voters surveyed by my organisation but little net move in that of the Opposition Leader.
This is deceptive. When you look more closely at the Liberal figure there has been a large shift here too, but in composition rather than size with stronger approval figures from conservative Coalition voters and a drop in approval from the centre.
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Monday, 14 December 2009 02:28 |
Written by Graham Young
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It looks like the relationship between Premier Anna Bligh and the electorate is terminal. The electorate has lost trust in her, and I suspect it doesn't matter what she does she can never win it back. This loss of trust stems from broken promises after the last election.
Bligh only just won the election by a negative campaign against opposition leader Lawrence Springborg, and declaring that only she could manage the economy. While there was a big swing against the government during the election campaign enough voters came back to the government by election day for the ALP to win. Events since have alienated a further slice of the electorate.
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Monday, 14 December 2009 01:12 |
Written by Graham Young
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While Queenslanders think the state is heading in the wrong direction, they are much more relaxed about the economy now than they were during the election, as the table below, which measures the relevance of concepts demonstrates.
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Sunday, 13 December 2009 07:36 |
Written by Graham Young
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The Queensland Labor Party has a huge problem. Its voter base is disillusioned and hollowed-out. Normally compared to the published quantitative polls our samples lean to the left. In Queensland they are increasingly leaning to the right. This means that Labor's supporters are demoralised and not prepared to come out for them, and conversely, the LNP's supporters are. energised Judging from our respondents enough have defected from Labor to infer a 5% swing away since the last election. Most are not changing to the LNP, but they are giving first preferences to Greens and not all are returning. The two tables below illustrate this.
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Tuesday, 08 December 2009 09:13 |
Written by Graham Young
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According to a media release from the CEO Institute:
Queensland seems to have weathered the worst of the global financial crisis, with 77% of CEOs having positive views on the economy and 60% saying they were likely to hire in the next six months, according to the inaugural CEO Financial Index.
I'm sure that's right because we did the survey. You can download the report by clicking here.
The release continues:
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Monday, 30 November 2009 09:13 |
Written by Graham Young
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Yesterday The Australian and The Courier Mail ran polls from Newspoll and Galaxy which said the Liberals would lose seats if they rejected Malcolm Turnbull's position on an ETS. They claimed this on the basis of the public's view of global warming. This commentary was unsupportable on the basis of the polling.
Today The Sunday Mail has published polling by Glaxy which shows the public disagreeing with Turnbull's position. How are the polls to be reconciled?
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Monday, 16 November 2009 05:39 |
Written by Graham Young
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While the quantitative responses to Rudd and Turnbull have stayed fairly stationary, there are some significant qualitative changes. I have marked the concept lists with different colours to show movements in concepts up and down in terms of mentions.
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Friday, 23 October 2009 00:07 |
Written by Graham Young
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Only 38% of Australians favour passing the government's proposed Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (CPRS) before the Copenhagen climate summit, with 46% opposed. 42% of Australians are absolutely opposed to the CPRS, while only 40% support it.
This is the quantitative result of our online survey of 1022 Australians on global warming. The sample was balanced to reflect the voting patterns of Australians at large.
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Wednesday, 21 October 2009 23:24 |
Written by Graham Young
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Global warming is back as the top issue after taking second place for much of this year. The table below needs to be viewed with a bit of caution because we have changed versions of Leximancer which is the software program we use to count concepts. The relevance appears to be a consistent concept between the tables, but the percentages in the latest sample don't appear to match well with those from the previous one, so rely on rank order rather than absolute measurements.
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