Sunday, 01 August 2010 19:23 |
Written by Graham Young
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The politicians are telling us that this election is about a lot of things, but that's not what electors are saying. For them there are a very few issues, and they are mostly issues of character. The Leximancer map below explores the question of preferred prime minister. The central theme, as it should be, is leadership, but the strengths of the respective candidates are gender for the PM and trust for the challenger.
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Thursday, 29 July 2010 10:26 |
Written by Graham Young
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Last night's 7.30 report featured a cameo appearance by yours truly. This election will be lost and won in the Queensland and New South Wales and they were looking at a series of marginal seats in and around Brisbane.
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Wednesday, 28 July 2010 20:50 |
Written by Graham Young
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It’s too early to make a call of the election, but if you’re a forecaster why wait until it’s obvious? So here’s my call. Julia Gillard is going to win. But that doesn’t mean that Tony Abbott can’t be a winner too.
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Sunday, 25 July 2010 23:36 |
Written by Graham Young
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45 percent of Australia's largest focus group chose Julia Gillard as the winner of the Leaders Debate, 34 percent chose Tony Abbott and 20 percent called it a draw.
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Sunday, 25 July 2010 15:03 |
Written by Graham Young
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Our first preference index has gone down for the Labor Party. This is different from the quantitative polling done by Newspoll, Nielsen and Morgan suggests. I'm betting this means that support for Labor will fall over the course of the election. While our respondents generally come to the same conclusions as the average voter because our respondents think about politics more than average they often come to those conclusions ealier.
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Sunday, 25 July 2010 14:48 |
Written by Graham Young
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Someone has been polling in Lilley (last Sunday) and our informant thinks it is Labor. It could be either, but as telephone polls cost a lot of money, and as the Liberal Party is unlikely to have Lilley as a target seat, then it probably was Labor. So who is worried? If the ALP then things aren't as good as polling suggests. Or it could be Wayne Swan taking out insurance. Afterall, he did lose the seat in 1996.
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Saturday, 24 July 2010 00:06 |
Written by Graham Young
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According to 64% of Australia's largest focus group, the What the people want project run by eJournal On Line Opinion, Julia Gillard's Citizens' Assembly should be abandoned.
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Tuesday, 13 July 2010 21:30 |
Written by Graham Young
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Views on growth in Queensland are diverse within the community. Roughly half are happy with growth in their area and half unhappy, but their perceptions of what sort of growth is occurring impact on this judgement. If they favour low growth and are in an area where low or nor growth is occurring, then they will be happy with their local area.
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Tuesday, 13 July 2010 21:01 |
Written by Graham Young
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With community polling confirming the findings of the McDonald Inquiry Report on the need for a state population policy, LGAQ president, Cr Paul Bell, has called on the state government to incorporate the report’s 18 recommendations in its Growth Management Study.
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