Polls Blog
No party a winner
Tuesday, 14 November 2017 07:15 | Written by Graham Young

There will be no party winners in the current Queensland election.

Given the talent on offer, that’s also what most voters are expecting, based on our virtual focus group of 311 Queenslanders who completed a 15 minute qualitative online survey between November 3 and 6.

Energy, equality and affordability become election issues
Tuesday, 22 August 2017 15:49 | Written by Graham Young

Our latest polling shows a number of new entrants in the list of important election issues, many of them issues that Labor has been running on heavily for a number of years. It also shows Labor winning the debate on housing affordability.

WA election preview
Friday, 10 March 2017 17:30 | Written by Graham Young

The WA election is between a government that is tired and an opposition that is not exactly fresh.

Hanson is Liberals' only chance in WA
Thursday, 02 March 2017 15:52 | Written by Graham Young

Our first analysis of our polling on the WA election (download by clicking here 870kb) suggests that a change of government is on the way, although not by a lot. However, this could depend on the One Nation vote.

ABCC likely to go through, but Turnbull on notice
Tuesday, 29 November 2016 13:17 | Written by Graham Young

Our latest survey of 1020 Australians demonstrates broad support for the government’s ABCC Bill, but no support for an anti-union campaign. This is particularly relevant given the bill is likely to be voted on this week.

Textor thesis fails empirical test
Tuesday, 26 July 2016 14:37 | Written by Graham Young

The 2016 federal election kills off Liberal Pollster Mark Textor’s theory of how the Liberal Party would win under Malcolm Turnbull.

Quoted in an article in The Australian he agreed that the ascent of the “centrist” Malcolm Turnbull would not result in a loss of conservative votes saying:

Exit poll federal election 2016
Tuesday, 26 July 2016 13:44 | Written by Graham Young

We've released two pieces of analysis on our exit poll.

The first is our standard analysis with the quantitative tables on the sample and the Leximancer maps. You can download that by clicking here.

It dovetails with our earlier research showing social issues and climate change being prime motivators for Labor and Greens voters, the economy and debt being prime motivators for Liberal and National supporters, and non-Greens minor party voters being concerned about the economy, but also cultural issues such as refugees, Islam, terrorism and gay marriage.

The second piece of analysis looks at the contribution that the issues of Medicare, superannuation and the economy made to the vote. This shows Medicare as being a small benefit to the Coalition, superannuation negative, but with a small subset of voters, and the economy positive for the Coalition.

These issues were more positive for the Coalition with non-Greens minor party voters, who held the key to the election.

You can download this second piece of research by clicking here.

However, as our analysis piece published in On Line Opinion today shows, Labor still got a good share of the minor party vote. The next term of parliament should be an arm wrestle over that vote, with whoever winning it forming the next government in 2015 of 2016.

You can read the analysis by clicking here.

Time ripe to raise taxes
Monday, 11 April 2016 17:37 | Written by Graham Young

There is a good argument to keep taxes as low as possible. It’s an argument that is losing ground in modern Australia.

Happy to pay more tax
Monday, 11 April 2016 17:12 | Written by Graham Young

Our report into Australian attitudes to taxation was launched today. The report can be downloaded by clicking here.

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