Polls Blog
Child Abuse Commission has overwhelming support
Monday, 10 December 2012 11:38 | Written by Graham Young

The federal government's royal commission in to child sexual abuse is overwhelmingly supported. In a virtual focus group of 966 respondents, balanced by voting intention we found the only significant resistance was from Liberal voters, but that was only 18 per cent.

 
Who pays for democracy?
Sunday, 11 November 2012 20:35 | Written by Graham Young

Modern democracy is an expensive business. Obama and Romney apparently spent one billion dollars between them, and the entire election cost six billion (scale that back for population and that is the equivalent of spending around $70 million in Australia on a federal election campaign).

 
Could housing and federal Labor's recovery be linked?
Sunday, 04 November 2012 20:09 | Written by Graham Young

This is entirely speculative, but our research on confidence in residential real estate led me to look at auction clearance rates, and it struck me that there could be a relationship between them and the recovery in federal Labor's vote.

 
Is housing rebounding?
Sunday, 04 November 2012 17:53 | Written by Graham Young

There's reputed to be a third party in many Australian relationships - the house. Australians are said to be in love with real estate, but post the GFC that relationship has become high maintenance. Now there are signs that things might be about to change with auction clearance rates rising. This week we polled on Queenslanders relationship with residential real estate, and the signs were encouraging for the industry.

 
October Omnibus most important issue - qual
Saturday, 27 October 2012 16:57 | Written by Graham Young

This is the first time that I've overlaid gender as well as voting intentions over Leximancer maps, but given the open declaration of a gender war by the prime minister, it seemed the right thing to do, and yes, men and women do see the world differently.

 
October Omnibus quants.
Saturday, 27 October 2012 13:53 | Written by Graham Young

Our adjusted sample doesn't necessarily line-up with the most recent quantitative polling from organisations like Nielsen on issues like approvals of the leaders and preferred Prime Minister. I suspect that they are catching short-term fluctuations that we don't.

 
First preference index shows small gains for Labor
Thursday, 25 October 2012 21:54 | Written by Graham Young

Our First Preference Index experiment is maintaining its record for accurately tracking movements in the major party votes. In our latest polling Labor has improved its vote significantly, the Greens have gone backwards and the Libs are a smidgin under steady, a similar result to Newspoll.

 
Tactical gain for Julia Gillard in sexism debate
Thursday, 25 October 2012 21:08 | Written by Graham Young

FOREIGN journalists and social media proclaimed it a success, while domestic political commentators, including me, canned it.

 
Repealing alcohol bans in Indigenous communities
Tuesday, 23 October 2012 21:45 | Written by Graham Young

I'm confused by the Queensland government's move to lift the alcohol bans in Indigenous communities. It's not that long ago that John Howard, under the influence of Mal Brough, imposed alcohol bans in the Northern Territory as part of cleaning-up corruption and abuse. Both got a lot of credit from Liberal voters for this, but 5 years later we see Liberal state and territory governments moving in the opposite direction.

 
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