Polls Blog
January Omnibus - the quants
Monday, 11 February 2013 22:41 | Written by Graham Young

Our January 2013 results were in line with the results at the end of last year - the government has improved, but not enough. As noted earlier, subsequent quantitative polling by Newspoll and Galaxy suggest that once Australians returned from holidays the mood changed.

 
First preference index remains stable
Monday, 11 February 2013 22:06 | Written by Graham Young

Our poll was conducted early in January and shows little movement in the major party votes - a slight fall for the Liberals and Labor and a slight rise for the Greens.

 
Julia Gillard and the AWU
Thursday, 13 December 2012 09:13 | Written by Graham Young

Almost fifty per cent of Australians disapprove of Julia Gillard's involvement in the AWU scandal and only eleven per cent approve, but more than fifty per cent disagree with the Opposition's pursuit of the issue. I've tried to explain the paradox at On Line Opinion in "Gillard was wrong, but we don't care". This post contains the quantitative figures.

 
Child Abuse Commission has overwhelming support
Monday, 10 December 2012 11:38 | Written by Graham Young

The federal government's royal commission in to child sexual abuse is overwhelmingly supported. In a virtual focus group of 966 respondents, balanced by voting intention we found the only significant resistance was from Liberal voters, but that was only 18 per cent.

 
Who pays for democracy?
Sunday, 11 November 2012 20:35 | Written by Graham Young

Modern democracy is an expensive business. Obama and Romney apparently spent one billion dollars between them, and the entire election cost six billion (scale that back for population and that is the equivalent of spending around $70 million in Australia on a federal election campaign).

 
Could housing and federal Labor's recovery be linked?
Sunday, 04 November 2012 20:09 | Written by Graham Young

This is entirely speculative, but our research on confidence in residential real estate led me to look at auction clearance rates, and it struck me that there could be a relationship between them and the recovery in federal Labor's vote.

 
Is housing rebounding?
Sunday, 04 November 2012 17:53 | Written by Graham Young

There's reputed to be a third party in many Australian relationships - the house. Australians are said to be in love with real estate, but post the GFC that relationship has become high maintenance. Now there are signs that things might be about to change with auction clearance rates rising. This week we polled on Queenslanders relationship with residential real estate, and the signs were encouraging for the industry.

 
October Omnibus most important issue - qual
Saturday, 27 October 2012 16:57 | Written by Graham Young

This is the first time that I've overlaid gender as well as voting intentions over Leximancer maps, but given the open declaration of a gender war by the prime minister, it seemed the right thing to do, and yes, men and women do see the world differently.

 
October Omnibus quants.
Saturday, 27 October 2012 13:53 | Written by Graham Young

Our adjusted sample doesn't necessarily line-up with the most recent quantitative polling from organisations like Nielsen on issues like approvals of the leaders and preferred Prime Minister. I suspect that they are catching short-term fluctuations that we don't.

 
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