Polls Blog
Western Australia - the qual
Wednesday, 13 March 2013 07:24 | Written by Graham Young

The issues in this election were fairly clear. As noted in the quants, there was strong support for the direction in which the state is heading. The qual shows that this is largely because of the state's booming economy, with the only negatives being around flow-on issues such as increased traffic congestion.

WA Election Quants
Tuesday, 12 March 2013 06:52 | Written by Graham Young

There were few surprises in the quantitative results from our Western Australian survey. It was a clear case of a popular government versus an opposition that was never really in the game, with huge expectations of a Liberal win about its only lever.

Preferred leaders - the quants
Tuesday, 05 March 2013 10:39 | Written by Graham Young

For the second year running we have conducted one of our detailed surveys into preferred leadership of the two major political parties, and there are some surprising twists and turns. If politics was a popularity contest, then Malcolm Turnbull would be the next Australian PM, but it isn't.

January Omnibus - the quants
Monday, 11 February 2013 22:41 | Written by Graham Young

Our January 2013 results were in line with the results at the end of last year - the government has improved, but not enough. As noted earlier, subsequent quantitative polling by Newspoll and Galaxy suggest that once Australians returned from holidays the mood changed.

First preference index remains stable
Monday, 11 February 2013 22:06 | Written by Graham Young

Our poll was conducted early in January and shows little movement in the major party votes - a slight fall for the Liberals and Labor and a slight rise for the Greens.

Julia Gillard and the AWU
Thursday, 13 December 2012 09:13 | Written by Graham Young

Almost fifty per cent of Australians disapprove of Julia Gillard's involvement in the AWU scandal and only eleven per cent approve, but more than fifty per cent disagree with the Opposition's pursuit of the issue. I've tried to explain the paradox at On Line Opinion in "Gillard was wrong, but we don't care". This post contains the quantitative figures.

Child Abuse Commission has overwhelming support
Monday, 10 December 2012 11:38 | Written by Graham Young

The federal government's royal commission in to child sexual abuse is overwhelmingly supported. In a virtual focus group of 966 respondents, balanced by voting intention we found the only significant resistance was from Liberal voters, but that was only 18 per cent.

Who pays for democracy?
Sunday, 11 November 2012 20:35 | Written by Graham Young

Modern democracy is an expensive business. Obama and Romney apparently spent one billion dollars between them, and the entire election cost six billion (scale that back for population and that is the equivalent of spending around $70 million in Australia on a federal election campaign).

Could housing and federal Labor's recovery be linked?
Sunday, 04 November 2012 20:09 | Written by Graham Young

This is entirely speculative, but our research on confidence in residential real estate led me to look at auction clearance rates, and it struck me that there could be a relationship between them and the recovery in federal Labor's vote.

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