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Sunday, 27 May 2012 21:35 |
Written by Graham Young
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As of the week beginning May 13 the federal opposition had declined in popularity compared to our poll in December last year by somewhere in the order of 3%. This is distinct from Newspoll which shows the level of support at the end of last year as almost identical to what it is now, with the distinction that they also show the coalition vote increasing significantly and then declining again within that same time period.
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Sunday, 27 May 2012 21:26 |
Written by Graham Young
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Caught between the hammer of the government's bad reputation and the anvil of demographic change, Wayne Swan's budget has toughened support for the Coalition while it has made Labor's more brittle.
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Monday, 26 March 2012 06:30 |
Written by Graham Young
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This is the first time we've run an exit poll and the results are intriguing. With a two-party preferred result of 64% to 36% we were very close to what actually happened. We will have to wait until someone does the calculation on the final state results to know exactly how close.
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Thursday, 22 March 2012 20:42 |
Written by Graham Young
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Men are much more likely to vote for Campbell Newman than are women, but where the difference is really evident is women 35 to 54.
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Thursday, 22 March 2012 20:19 |
Written by Graham Young
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This is a snap shot of where the parties were last week. Since then Galaxy and Roy Morgan both indicate that things have moved back, suggesting Labor has over-played its hand.
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Sunday, 18 March 2012 13:45 |
Written by Graham Young
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The Leximancer Map suggests a number of reasons for voters positions on the Rudd v Gillard contest. Those who have become more likely to vote Labor instance the media and Tony Abbott as two of their strongest reasons. Media refers to media bias. For those less likely it is the way that caucus has demonstrated it controls the numbers in ALP ballots.
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Sunday, 18 March 2012 13:34 |
Written by Graham Young
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Our quants showed that voters were less inclined to vote Labor after Julia Gillard's win, but that leaves the question of why open. Our qualitative responses give the answer, and it is two sides of the same coin.
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Friday, 16 March 2012 16:17 |
Written by Graham Young
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We polled our respondents on the question of who would make the best leader of the Labor Party and of the Liberal Party. We had six nominations for each and dealt with them using preferential voting.
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Friday, 16 March 2012 16:08 |
Written by Graham Young
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Tony Abbott claims that the government lacks legitimacy, so we decided to test that at the same time we looked at the Labor leadership ballot.
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