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Friday, 16 March 2012 14:20 |
Written by Graham Young
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Some of the responses to our "People Power" survey seemed to think that the Gillard government lacked legitimacy and that one of the reasons for this was the way in which Kevin Rudd was removed as Prime Minister, so we decided to resurvey respondents and see just what views respondents had of the contest and where they saw Labor party leadership heading.
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Monday, 27 February 2012 10:52 |
Written by Graham Young
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In the previous post I summarised the basic reasons why respondents favoured one or the other of Julia or Kevin, or neither. This Leximancer map shows a word cloud with voting intention and support for either Gillard or Rudd plotted on it as well.
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Monday, 27 February 2012 05:31 |
Written by Graham Young
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According to a "people power" poll conducted by us between Friday and midday Sunday Julia Gillard is marginally preferred as leader of the ALP. Kevin Rudd's best support was amongst the young, males and those living in Queensland, but it was not enough to best Julia Gillard whose best support was amongst older female Australians living in Victoria or South Australia. Gillard was also the choice of Labor voters, while Rudd was the choice of Liberals.
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Monday, 20 February 2012 18:00 |
Written by Graham Young
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Australians are very polarised between the political parties as you can see from the concept map below which is very elongated. Voters are at one end or the other and there is less than normal overlap of issues.
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Friday, 17 February 2012 16:00 |
Written by Graham Young
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According to this poll of our virtual focus group things have deteriorated for Julia Gillard since last June. (The virtual focus group is a subset of our total pool of respondents and is weighted to reflect Newspoll's estimate of the strength of the various political party first preference votes).
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Tuesday, 07 February 2012 21:13 |
Written by Graham Young
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Our first preference index for Labor, Liberal and Greens shows Labor and Liberal back to where they were in June last year. Not quite what the latest Nielsen shows, but in line with Newspoll. All this might be explained by error margin, or when the polls were taken (ours actually dates from late last year).
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Tuesday, 07 February 2012 20:08 |
Written by Graham Young
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There were signs at the end of last year that the major parties were moving into a different phase of their struggle for power.
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Saturday, 21 January 2012 08:46 |
Written by Graham Young
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I did an interview yesterday with Steve Austin on ABC Radio yesterday on the coming Queensland State Election (which will probably be announced on Tuesday next week, but time will tell).
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Monday, 16 January 2012 22:02 |
Written by Graham Young
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An interesting feature of this state election is the way that some rural Queenslanders have allied themselves with the urban Greens voters. This is not likely to be a long term alliance.
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